NYMEX crude settles lower; heating oil, gasoil rally on colder weather
New York (Platts)--6Feb2012/452 pm EST/2152 GMT
NYMEX March crude futures settled 93 cents lower at $96.91/barrel
Monday, but heating oil and gasoil futures made gains as cold weather moves
across Europe.
March heating oil settled 5.63 cents higher at $3.1707/gal on NYMEX,
while ICE February gasoil settled up $28.75 at $988.25/mt. In post-settlement
trade, gasoil gained $30 to $989.80/mt.
NYMEX March RBOB settled 1.35 cents higher at $2.9279/gal, while ICE
March Brent settled $1.35 higher at $115.93/b.
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"The onset of much colder temperatures in continental Europe, after a
prolonged mild beginning of the winter season, has been boosting gasoil
prices," said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP
Paribas. "The week-ahead forecasts for continental Europe are looking for
below average temperature."
The expected upcoming rise in heating demand will come against average
levels of distillate stocks, which in turn is supporting higher spot gasoil
prices, he added.
"I think between the cold snap in Europe, there's a good margin in
sending [heating oil] over to Europe from the US," said Carl Larry, president
of Oil Outlooks. "That's giving the margin-hungry refiners here in the US
reason to crank up [heating oil]."
Meanwhile, ICE gasoil front-month spread was testing a backwardated
structure Monday as colder weather across Europe boosts demand for heating
oil. The February to March spread had moved between a contango of 25 cents/mt
to a backwardation of 50 cents/mt in European morning trade. But by the US
close, the front-month spread settled at minus 50 cents/b.
In NYMEX heating oil, the March/April spread settled at 2.67 cents/gal
Monday -- its widest spread since it moved into backwardation on December 30,
2011.
For the rest of the oil complex, focus returned to the ongoing debt
crisis in the eurozone.
"Namely, member nation Greece could be on the verge of a bankruptcy, as
feuding government officials could not agree to terms for a new bailout from
the European Union, European Central Bank, and International Monetary Fund,"
said Schaeffer's Research analysts said in a note.
Greek political leaders will "very probably" meet on Tuesday to decide
whether to approve new austerity measures demanded by the country's public
creditors for new loans, a government source said on Monday, according to an
AFP report.
The European Commission earlier noted that Greece was already
effectively "past the deadline" to get a deal among the coalition partners to
reshape the country's economy and slash its debt in exchange for another
bailout.
--Alison Ciaccio, alison_ciaccio@platts.com